tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7767671.post115333203726248476..comments2024-03-14T05:51:12.959-05:00Comments on Stolen Thunder: Survey (USA) SaysDJ Drummondhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11583885371076583265noreply@blogger.comBlogger3125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7767671.post-1153522291600805062006-07-21T17:51:00.000-05:002006-07-21T17:51:00.000-05:00The overall poll result should be based on a state...The overall poll result should be based on a state population weighted average of the state's surveyed. <BR/><BR/>The overall poll MOE should be derived correctly by valuing each person surveyed in CA as a full person for sample size purposes, and discounting people surveyed in less populous states based on their population. So, the Colorado poll would be worth an increase of the sample size of about 66 people. Done this way, the total sample size exceeds the sample size in any given state, so the MOE for the entire poll should be smaller than the MOE for the highest state. Using that method (and with 600 persons surveyed in each state), the effective sample size for the nation as a whole is roughly 5,400 which produces a MOE of +/- 1.33 percentage points, considerably more accurate than the MOE in the largest state which is +/-4%.Andrew Oh-Willekehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02537151821869153861noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7767671.post-1153521883911046552006-07-21T17:44:00.000-05:002006-07-21T17:44:00.000-05:00Sorry. The TV station only shows who paid for the...Sorry. The TV station only shows who paid for the poll. Survey USA does it the same way in every state- it robocalls and gives you push button answers, and selects the numbers to call in the same way in every state.Andrew Oh-Willekehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02537151821869153861noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7767671.post-1153344957280305242006-07-19T16:35:00.000-05:002006-07-19T16:35:00.000-05:00Yes, WKYC-TV in Cleveland is notoriously anti-Bush...Yes, WKYC-TV in Cleveland is notoriously anti-Bush. Overall in '04, only 5 counties were strongly Democrat. The rest were strongly Republican (11) to independent.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com