Dilative Poll Demographic Transition

Hello again!

For those interested in the details under the surface of most National polls, I have reviewed the September 20-26 demographic sector support, and note them now alongside the October 14-20 demographic sector support.

Further discussion of the nature and validity of the National polls may be read here.

Category:.......................................September...........................October
Republican Support for Bush......91.3%....................................91.3%
Democrat Suport for Bush..........11.5%.....................................09.3%
Independent Support for Bush...46.3%...................................45.8%
Republican Support for Kerry.....05.0%..................................06.5%
Democrat Support for Kerry.......83.3%...................................87.0%
Independent Support for Kerry..41.3%...................................44.5%

Men for Bush..................................52.2%..................................52.8%
Men for Kerry................................40.0%..................................41.3%
Women for Bush............................47.2%...................................44.3%
Women for Kerry..........................45.0%...................................50.0%

Job Approval..................................52.4%...................................49.5%

Bush Personal Favorability..........50.3%...................................54.0%
Kerry Personal Favorability........43.3%....................................32.7%

(age range differs from poll to poll)
18-49 yr old Bush..........................56%.......................................51%
18-49 yr old Kerry........................40%.......................................45%
18-30 yr old Bush.........................51%........................................42%
18-30 yr old Kerry.......................42%........................................51%
31-44 yr old Bush..........................50%.......................................52.5%
31-44 yr old Kerry........................44%........................................43%
30-49 yr old Bush..........................51%........................................49%
30-49 yr old Kerry........................39%........................................44%
45-60 yr old Bush..........................53%........................................49%
45-60 yr old Kerry........................43%........................................45.5%
50-64 yr old Bush..........................49%........................................46.5%
50-64 yr old Kerry........................43%........................................47.5%
61+ yr old Bush..............................48%........................................51%
61+ yr old Kerry............................45%........................................44.5%
65+ yr old Bush..............................50%........................................43.5%
65+ yr old Kerry............................42%.........................................46.5%

Whites for Bush..............................56.7%.......................................56.5%
Whites for Kerry............................35.7%.......................................40%
non-Whites for Bush.....................27%...........................................22.5%
non-Whites for Kerry...................63%...........................................67.5%
Blacks for Bush..............................13.5%........................................11%
Blacks for Kerry............................76%............................................80%

East - Bush.....................................43.3%........................................41.5%
East - Kerry...................................49%...........................................53.3%
Midwest - Bush.............................53%...........................................47.8%
Midwest - Kerry...........................39%............................................46%
South - Bush..................................53.5%.........................................53.5%
South - Kerry................................40%............................................40.5%
West - Bush...................................47.8%.........................................47.5%
West - Kerry.................................44.5%.........................................46.8%